Pound US dollar exchange rate steady as doubts over US-China trade deal increase

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Julian Evans-Pritchard, Postpositive major China Economist at Capital Economics, said that the deal was “mostly a restatement of existing commitments”, echoing a more general sentiment which has left-wing US markets feeling jittery over further obstacles to a “phase two” compatibility between Washington and Beijing. However, US President Donald Trump’s top do business negotiator, Robert Lighthizer, was more balanced, saying “Are we in an ideal smidgen? No. Is this a massively good first step? Yes.”

In US economic news, today saw the delivering of the US retail sales figure for December, which beat forecasts and arise for the third month straight from -0.1 percent to 0.5 percent. 

Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties capped the US dollar’s potential for gains. 

Meanwhile, GBP has fought to make much headway on the US dollar following yesterday’s release of the UK’s inflation make heads for December, which fell to a three-year low. 

The report raised pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) to cut piece rates as early as this month, with several policymakers blame succumb to out in support of a rate cut due to the UK’s flagging economy.   

Michael Saunders, a policymaker at the BoE, revealed on Wednesday: “It probably will be appropriate to maintain an expansionary monetary regulation stance and possibly to cut rates further, in order to reduce risks of a interminable undershoot of the two per cent inflation target.”

Brexit uncertainty is also over b delay back some of the pound’s gains, with concerns rising through whether the UK can secure a free trade deal with the European Junction (EU) after the 31 January, when the UK is officially due to leave the EU. 

The pound to US dollar swap rate will remain sensitive to British economic developments this week.

We could see the work over fall against the “greenback” if tomorrow’s UK retail sales figure for December drops below forecasts and shows reduced levels of consumer spending. 

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