Polling guru issues warning to Remainers – New Brexit vote not as favourable as they think


A new ballot from Kantar shows 34 percent of voters would fancy not to leave with no deal, and 22 percent would prefer to repeal Article 50. The poll also showed 18 percent wish prefer to hold a second Brexit referendum, six percent to leave with Theresa May’s apportion, nince percent to seek a Brexit extension and 12 percent did not recall. Speaking on the poll results John Curtice, a Politics Professor at Strathclyde University, told BBC Message: “The honest truth is that not many voters have changed their take charge ofs.

“Typically when voters are asked how they would vote in another referendum we get between 85 and 90 percent of those woman who voted in the 2016 referendum say they would do the same thing again.

“So 85 to 90 percent of those who voted Persevere a leavings say they would vote Remain again and the same is true on the Discontinue side. That said it is true that polls do tend to be visible rather than the narrow lead for a Leave that there was in the referendum, a mercenary mingy lead for Remain, bit that arises essentially not so much people changing their viewpoint.

“But those people who didn’t vote three years ago, according to the canvasses at least, are rather more likely to say they’d vote Remain very than Leave.

“Though in truth this is not the most politically aroused part of our population for the most part, and I think against that backdrop although those on the Remnants side think that a second referendum is something that inclination come up with an outcome much more favourable to them, I don’t judge devise we can be absolutely sure on this point.

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“I think what’s also become a reality is, not only is the outcome of the referendum uncertain, but Remain and Leave voters don’t in point of fact agree about whether or not we should be having a second referendum.

“The wins in the end, overall, suggest it’s pretty close, depends exactly on how you ask the question.

“But on difference, Remain voters are pretty keen on the idea because they see the opinion polls that suggest Remain are ahead, Leave voters go ‘hang on we have planned already had one referendum, why do we need another?’ Therefore they tend to be contrasted to the idea.”

The comments come as Brexit negotiations continue on a final day of toils to get a deal ready for a crucial EU summit after Tuesday’s talks ran into the inappropriate hours of the morning.

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