Iran threat: War with US ‘could escalate out of control’ warn experts – ‘Very risky’


For now, a UK-based academic has said it would be impossible to contain any war involving the two equals. Tensions between Washington and Tehran has increased significantly recently, extraordinarily after Iranian forces claimed responsibility for downing an unmanned US military drone earlier this month. US President Donald Trump imparted he called off a retaliatory strike as a result of concerns over the number of disasters it would result in.

Alex Vatanka, a fellow at the Washington-based Middle East Inaugurate, suggested his thinking is likely to have been coloured by uncertainty on what would have happened as a result.

He told “The US advised ofs there is a real danger of escalation and retaliation.

“The question is how Iran replies. They could take it on the chin.

“Or alternatively it could become acutely risky – the US has tens of thousands of troops in the region and groups aligned with the Iranians could pinch action, not just against them but against but US allies as well.

Present MORE: UK wades into chaos and demands US and Tehran deliver ‘pertinacious de-escalation’

“It’s pretty clear President Trump believes at the moment it is not importance it.

“It’s not just about the Iranian retaliation – it’s more to do with how this could get out of command across the region.

“We have no way of knowing how people would pick up the phone when Iran notifications and come to their aid.”

Iran had numerous proxies and allies in the Middle East, Mr Vatanka symbolized – for example, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hezbollah in Lebanon – who might be prepared to sell out operations in support.

In addition there would be the risk of Israel being lallygagged into such a conflict and the huge risks associated with such a event.

Mr Trump will also have been mindful that discharge strikes against Iran could actually bolster the regime of President Hassan Rouhani domestically by spawning a sense of unity among the Iran people, Mr Vatanka said.

He resolution also be highly reluctant to drag the US into another ground war, specified his vocal criticism of the decisions to invade Afghanistan and Iran.

Mr Vatanka rumoured: “Seventeen years later we still don’t know what’s going to betide with Afghanistan – and Iran is a far harder military proposition than any other mountains in the region.”

Arshin Adib-Moghaddam, a Professor in Global Thought and Comparative Philosophies with the Seminary of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), told observers should not be looned by the apparently lop-sided nature of any conflict between the two countries.

Referring to the brand-new downing of a US military drone, he explained: “The Iranian military managed to snuff out down a multimillion pound drone with stealth capability that is assembled to evade being spotted by radar in the first place.

“They did so with elephantine accuracy with a surface to air missile that costs a few thousand throbs.

“This is a nice microcosm for the mutually assured destruction that any war with Iran assures.

“This is a military that has several powerful allies and that has had the up to date word, in terms of military tactics, in different highly complex vital theatres.

“The only possibility is peace because any war with Iran could not be confined, coped or calculated.”

READ MORE: Iran fires US chilling war alert after drone pellet down ‘we will react strongly’

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