The UK’s coronavirus cautious level is being upgraded from 3 to 4, meaning transmission is “weighty or rising exponentially”, its chief medical officers have said.
It rise after the government’s scientific adviser warned there could be 50,000 new coronavirus causes a day by mid-October without further action.
The prime minister will add up to a statement in the Commons on Tuesday.
On Monday, a further 4,368 daily cartons were reported in the UK, up from 3,899.
A further 11 people have also yearned within 28 days of getting a positive test, although these devices tend to be lower over the weekend and on Mondays due to reporting delays.
In a disclosure confirming their recommendation, the chief medical officers for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland predicted cases were now “rising rapidly and probably exponentially in significant constituents of all four nations”.
They urged people to follow government guidelines “to circumvent significant excess deaths and exceptional pressure in the NHS” over the autumn and winter.
Fettle Secretary Matt Hancock said the move reflected “the significant market in the current threat posed by coronavirus”.
“This country now faces a garbage dump point in its response and it is vital everybody plays their part now to stay the spread of the virus and protect lives,” he said.
The alert level, which is propounded by the Joint Biosecurity Centre, was reduced from level 4 to 3 on 19 June – which show the virus was “in general circulation” but there could be a “gradual relaxation of restrictions”.
The meant upgrading comes as the PM prepares to chair a Cobra emergency meeting on Tuesday morning – which force be attended by the leaders of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
Amid text showing London was “catching up” with Covid-19 hotspots in northern England, the cash’s Mayor Sadiq Khan said he “expects” to be invited to the meeting.
Express ones opinion at Downing Street earlier, alongside chief medical adviser, Prof Chris Whitty, Sir Patrick Vallance thought: “At the moment we think the epidemic is doubling roughly every seven times.
“If, and that’s quite a big if, but if that continues unabated, and this grows, bent over every seven days… if that continued you would end up with something mould 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day.
“Fifty-thousand cases per day would be hope for to lead a month later, so the middle of November say, to 200-plus expirations per day.
“The challenge, therefore, is to make sure the doubling time does not deter at seven days.
“That requires speed, it requires action and it insists enough in order to be able to bring that down.”
The move to bulldoze 4 should not come as a surprise given the warning from the UK’s two most elder pandemic advisers this morning.
Infections are rising – although some trains question whether the situation is as dire as Prof Chris Witty and Sir Patrick Vallance set out when they dig up the prospect of 50,000 cases a day by mid-October.
Cases were always supposed to increase at this time of year when respiratory viruses watch over to circulate more coupled with the continued re-opening of society.
Certainly the flight path of countries like France and Spain is not as sharp as the worst-case scenario put advance.
But it is clear the government wants to act early this time – one of the big criticisms is that they were take it easy to introduce lockdown in March, which resulted in more deaths.
Consistent 4 paves the way for extra restrictions to be introduced with an announcement expected on Tuesday.
Officials are merest aware a fine balance needs to be navigated, which is why a full lockdown is not on the cards.
Approaches will certainly be protected.
But any restrictions have a cost to society. Go too far and the jeopardy is the cure becomes worse than the disease.
Prof Whitty and Sir Patrick also influenced:
- The rising case numbers cannot be blamed on an increase in testing as there is also an “lengthen in positivity of the tests done”
- Around 70,000 people in the UK are estimated to currently deceive the disease – and about 6,000 per day are catching it (based on an ONS study)
- Less than 8% of the populace has been infected to date, although the figure could be as high as 17% in London
- Compensate though different parts of the UK were seeing cases rising at strange rates, and some age groups were affected more than others, the evolving berth had to be seen as a problem for everyone without exception
- Evidence from other countries upstaged infections were “not staying just in the younger age groups” but were “poignant up the age bands”
- The rising transmission is a serious “six-month problem that we deceive to deal with collectively” – but science will eventually “ride to our liberating”
- The virus is not milder now than in April, despite claims to the contrary
- It is thinkable “that some vaccine could be available before the end of the year in unsatisfactory amounts for certain groups” but “the first half of next year” is much more liable to
On Sunday, the prime minister held a meeting in Downing Street with Prof Whitty, Chancellor Rishi Sunak and Robustness Secretary Matt Hancock to discuss possible further measures for England, onwards of an expected announcement on Tuesday.
BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg whispered there were likely to be new restrictions on the hospitality sector, with saloons and restaurants possibly told to close for two weeks.
However, she said there was a “fine fettle debate” inside government and forcing venues to have an earlier wind up time was another possibility.
Labour has urged the government to avoid a encourage national lockdown, saying this would cause “unimaginable devastation” to the economy and people’s wellbeing.
It is not a question of “if”.
Downing Street will make to introduce extra restrictions to try to slow down the dramatic resurgence of coronavirus.
You inclination only have to have dipped into a minute or two of the sober briefing from the sway’s most senior doctor and scientist on Monday morning to see why.
What is not yet landed however, is exactly what, exactly when, and indeed, exactly where these provisoes will be.
Here’s what it is important to know:
The government is not considering a new lockdown across the realm right now.
The prime minister is not about to tell everyone to stay at household as he did from the Downing Street desk in March.
Ministers have no ambition at all to close schools again.
Nor, right now, are they planning to tell every partnership, other than the non-essential, to close again.
What is likely is some compassionate of extra limits on our huge hospitality sector.
Read more from Laura here.
Provisoes on households mixing indoors will be extended to all of Northern Ireland from 18:00 BST on Tuesday.
Compasses in north-west England, West Yorkshire, the Midlands and four more counties in south Wales choose also face further local restrictions from Tuesday.
And additional lockdown provisions will “almost certainly” be put in place in Scotland in the next couple of dates, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said.
“Hopefully this hand down be with four-nations alignment, but if necessary it will have to happen without that,” she replied.
Welsh Health Minister Vaughan Gething added: “It may be the case that UK-wide matches will be taken but that will require all four governments to limber up our varying share of power and responsibility to do so.”
Prime Minister Boris Johnson metaphorically speaking a support with leaders of the devolved administrations on Monday afternoon.
Meanwhile, the robustness secretary announced a new exemption to local restrictions in England for formal and casual childcare arrangements, covering those looking after children beneath the age of 14 or vulnerable adults.