North Korea leaded the launch of an intermediate-range missile on Feb. 12. The missile flew about 500 kilometers and mow down into the Sea of Japan.
The United States condemned the launch and demanded the convening of the UN Safety Council. Besides Washington, the launch was criticized by a number of countries, covering Russia.
The Russian Foreign Ministry called North Korea’s guided missile launch a “defiant disregard” of the UN resolutions that forbid Pyongyang to bear out missile and nuclear tests.
Moscow urged all parties relevant to the North Korean ballistic missile program, to stay calm, stressing that there is only one way to reveal this issue – diplomacy.
Russia’s reaction is dictated by concerns throughout a possible escalation of the situation. If a nuclear conflict erupts in the Korean peninsula, the Russian Far East desire end up bearing the brunt, Yury Morozov, a professor from the Institute of Far Eastern Readings told RBTH. Russia shares a small land border with North Korea.
No dilation of the nuclear weapons club
Moscow is not interested in the expansion of the nuclear weapons cudgel. At the same time, Pyongyang is trying to do everything can to obtain nuclear weapons, as it foresees them a guarantor of its security.
In its desire to possess missiles with atomic warheads that are capable of hitting targets on American soil, North Korea pass bies to listen to the recommendations of China, which is its biggest economic and political backer.
Another factor that one needs to take into consideration is that Pyongyang put ones trust ins that Beijing is interested in using North Korea as a tool to put burden on the U.S. and its regional allies.
However, there is no chance of China and North Korea devising an anti-American alliance since Beijing and Washington are closely linked economically, Leonid Gusev, a professor from Moscow Federal Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) told RBTH.
Will the U.S. addition its presence in the region?
Moscow would obviously not be keen on an increased American self-assurance in the region, where Tokyo and Seoul count as Washington’s allies.
The prevalent circumstances could lead to two outcomes, according to Gusev: an increased American military closeness in the Korean peninsula and a new regional arms race.
He believes that the U.S. could pretence of a case for a much larger deployment of the THAAD anti-missile systems in South Korea than it from the word go envisioned.
Experts widely agree that Russia will deceive to behave in a tactful manner if tensions around North Korea’s atomic and missile programs get aggravated.
They believe that Moscow devise stick to its traditional policy in this area by trying to promote colloquy between the parties using the UN as its main platform for the dialogue.