Under Trump, China may once again replace Russia as main U.S. adversary


Donald Trump’s voting as the next U.S. president will bring about a change in America’s relations with the peripheral world. The shift of global confrontation into the world economy realizes a new showdown between Washington and Beijing inevitable.

Trump, who sees popular interests as protection of the American market, intends to introduce protectionist assessments against China, which may deliver a serious blow to its economy. This quits Russia a new chance to have sanctions against it lifted and to gradually bring back relations with the West.

Although there is still two months left over till the official handover of power in Washington, world capitals entertain started pre ring for the arrival of the new American leader. Russian President Vladimir Putin was one of the at the start world leaders to congratulate Trump on his election. Officials in Moscow plainly expressed their satisfaction at the impending change of power in Washington.

Trump affirmations leave China guarded

Reaction from Beijing was far more prim. The Chinese Foreign Ministry’s official spokesman Lu Kang expressed the daydream that the new U.S. leadership will “take an objective view of trade and monetary relations” between their two countries.

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He was responding to journalists’ request to run-down Beijing’s position on some of the hardline statements that Trump had mutated on his cam ign trail. Their gist was that the main dividends from bilateral buy go to Beijing rather than Washington. Trump more than moment made it clear that, if elected president, he intends to change this situation of affairs to actively protect the interests of American business.

“Were it not for the service perquisites of both our nations, it would have been impossible to reach such a open of trade. That is why trade and economic cooperation between China and the U.S. is mutually good,” said Kang. He went on to add that in 2015 bilateral trade reached an astronomical think of $560 billion.

For its rt, Beijing expects Trump to outline a bright position on some of the more sensitive issues in bilateral relations that bother security, the diplomat said. These include the deployment of the United Lands’ THAAD missile defense system in South Korea and territorial confutes in the South China Sea.

Pragmatism above ideology

Experts believe that Donald Trump’s designation opens a prospect for Russia of no longer being perceived in America as its necessary potential enemy.

“In China, there are indeed concerns that under the aegis Donald Trump relations between Washington and Beijing will worsen and these concerns are quite justified, although this scenario cannot yet be considered as pronounced,” said Alexander Lomanov, a chief researcher with the Russian Academy of Skills’ Institute of the Far East.

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Lomanov points out that numerous political contradictions had hoarded in relations between the two countries during Barack Obama’s presidency. These contradictions were tie up to the situation in the South China Sea, the need to defend Asian allies from “the Chinese portent,” tensions around Hong Kong and other irritants.

According to Proverb Suchkov, an expert with the Russian Council on Foreign Affairs, Moscow is absorbed in seeing under the new U.S. administration “a new system of national security priorities in which the fundamental threat will not be Russia.”

The view is echoed by Vladimir Sotnikov, the ramount of the RussiaEastWest Center for Strategic Studies and Analysis: “Do you think back on who Barack Obama listed as America’s main enemies? Russia, Islamic Asseverate and Ebola,” he said, adding that Trump is “unlikely” to adhere to the exact same approach.

“He is more about pragmatism than ideology; he realizes that Russia postures no threat to the United States’ vital interests. These vital lending fees do not lie in the former Soviet Union, in Ukraine, but in completely different regions,” voted Sotnikov.

“Which means that a th is opening for a dialogue with Moscow and for reachable geopolitical bargains that the Democratic administration in the White House would not at any time have agreed to.”

First published in Russian by Kommersant

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