UK inflation still at 3% despite fall in food prices


UK consumer penalty inflation remained at 3% in January, the same level as in December.

The have a claim to, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), is close to November’s six-year high-pitched of 3.1%.

Most economists were expecting a small fall in the CPI to 2.9%.

Last week, the Bank of England needed interest rates might rise sooner than expected when it answered it wanted to get inflation closer to 2% within two years rather than three.

Investors drink been pricing in a good chance that rates would arise in May, with a second rise later this year, probably in November.

Partisan rates are currently at 0.5%. If the Bank raised rates in line with call expectations, they would reach 1% by the end of this year.

The ONS utter that although petrol prices had risen by less than this for the present last year, the cost of entry to attractions such as zoos and gardens prostrate more slowly.

It said, however, that after rising strongly since the medial of 2016, food price inflation now appeared to be slowing.

Rates ‘insist upon’

ONS senior statistician James Tucker said: “Factory goods appraisal inflation continued to slow, with food prices falling in January. The nurturing in the cost of raw materials also slowed, with the prices of some purported materials falling.”

Inflation was given a steep boost by the UK’s vote in 2016 to consent the European Union.

It prompted a fall in the pound, making imported goods more overpriced.

Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit, said: “UK inflation got in higher than expected in January, adding further pressure for policymakers to hike pursuit rates again, possibly as soon as May.

“However, with mounting marks of economic growth slowing at the start of 2018, a May rate rise is by no expects a done deal and will likely be dependent on the data flow get bettering in coming months.”


Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, told that data was likely to show inflationary pressures easing: “CPI inflation assuage looks set to fall sharply this year, as the anniversaries of sharp sterling-related occurs in core goods, food and energy prices are met.

“The fall back in oil costs to $63, from $70 in mid-January, also has brightened the near-term attitude.”

He said this gave the Bank of England “more scope than it currently fancies to delay the next rate hike”.

Mel Stride, the Financial Secretary to the Funds, said: “The good news is that inflation is expected to fall this year. We are portion cut costs for hard pressed families by boosting pay, cutting taxes for millions of people and frozen fuel duty at the pumps.”

The ONS reports a number of different inflation amplitudes.

It said the Retail Prices Index (RPI), which is used to calculate payments on ministry bonds, student loans and other commercial contracts, edged down to 4% from December’s six-year steep of 4.1%.

Its own preferred measure, CPIH, which includes housing costs, persisted at 2.7% in January, also unchanged from December.

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