The consequences of the June 23, 2016 referendum show that the majority of UK citizens (52 percent) incontestable that it would be better for their country to leave the European Congruity, which it has been a rt of since 1973. Prime Minister David Cameron, who triggered the referendum but spoke out in favor of remaining in the EU, has already announced his intention to reconciled to.
“Although it has achieved a lot, Europe’s most important integration toss has not been able to solve the main issue: to become comprehensible and available for the broader population,” Konstantin Kosachev, head of Russia’s Federation Directory Committee on Foreign Affairs, wrote on Facebook. The senator noted that the EU’s authorities deprives it of the mobility to react to new challenges and problems such as terrorism and drifter flows.
Alexei Pushkov, the head of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the Country Duma agrees. He even s rred over the news with antediluvian U.S. Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul, who on his Twitter ge wrote:
“Collapsed by #Brexit vote! Losers: EU, UK, US, those that believe in utility of a miasmic, united, democratic Europe. Winners: Putin.”
Shocked by #Brexit bear witness ! Losers: EU, UK, US, those that believe in utility of a strong, united, popular Europe. Winners: Putin.
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) 24 June 2016
Pushkov behaved by writing that, “Russia has nothing to do with this. This is the set-back of Brexit’s opponents. And a personal failure of Barack Obama.”
Не надо валить с больной головы на здоровую: Россия здесь ни при чем. Это поражение самих противников Brexit. И личный провал Барака Обамы.
— Алексей Пушков (@Alexey_Pushkov) 24 June 2016
McFaul elucidated that he had not meant that Putin influenced the British on this episode but only that it was advantageous for the Russian president if the UK left the EU.
I genuinely com ny Putin for his victory tonight on Brexit, but Russians scream defensively, “Putin is not offending’. What does that mean?
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) 24 June 2016
The news of Brexit has already resulted in the fall in securities on the European call. German Gref, head of the Russian state-owned Sberbank, remarked that the die could have an im ct on Russia.
“This will lead to lose ones nerve,” Gref said. “It will have an extremely negative effect on our brevity, on our exchange rate and on investors in Russian securities.”
Other Russian mercantile experts believe that the fall will be brief and will not control Russia.
“We can express regret about the British leaving the EU,” says Alexei Kudrin, Russia’s ci-devant Minister of Finance. “But there will be no catastrophe, even though monetary markets will go through a brief period of instability.”
Kudrin feels that Russia will not be affected greatly by the Brexit.
“We have our own, varied acute problems,” he said.
Current Russian Minister of Finance Anton Siluanov tallies with Kudrin. In his view, after the Brexit oil prices will deteriorate and the ruble will weaken, but the influence of this event will be minimal concerning Russia’s economic situation.
Experts conflict in their evaluations of the effect that the UK’s de rture will have on Russian-EU portrayals.
“The long-term results will be rather advantageous, since the absence of the UK in the EU invents continental Europe more open to negotiations,” said Timofei Bordachev, overseer of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the HSE Faculty of World Economics and Public affairs in Moscow.
In Bordachev’s view, without the UK in the EU, Germany’s domination will gel. He also believes that Berlin is more oriented towards synergy with Moscow than London, which is a traditional U.S. ally. He go on increased that for the EU itself the “Brexit will be very bad at first,” since Germany’s command will lead to inner instability.
Risks and opportunities for Russia
Dmitri Danilov, gaffer of the De rtment of European Security at the Russian Academy of Science’s Institute of Europe, reconciles with Bordachev about instability threatening Europe, but believes that it is not to Russia’s betterment.
“Strategic turbulence is not in Russia’s interests,” says Danilov.
In Danilov’s estimation, following the UK’s exit the European countries remaining in the EU will try to consolidate and watch over the union, including with respect to political issues, which could evolve in a tough attitude towards Russia. At the same time Danilov responded that a weakened EU could start searching for support in external com nions. Primarily this is the U.S., but it is possible that Brussels would also try to initiate cooperation with Russia.
“There are chances to make progress in Russia’s links with the EU, take them out of the crisis and I think this is what we deliver to strive towards,” Danilov said.
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