Pound V euro: GBP rises on weak Eurozone data and Draghi inflation concerns


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Considers from the EU’s statistics office showed that industrial production was weaker than demanded

Economic data from the European bloc was rather gloomy today.

Concerting to figures from the European Union’s statistics office, industrial fabrication was a great deal weaker than expected in January.

Production across the 19 sticks dropped to -1 per cent month-on-month, down from the previous period’s 0.4 per cent excrescence and the forecast of -0.3 per cent.

It fell on a yearly basis with a pore over of 2.7 per cent – significantly down from both the previous days and the forecast.

This was largely due to a sharp drop in energy production.

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Production across 19 European countries sank to -1 per cent month-on-month

Further evidence that inflation dynamics are telling in the right direction is needed

Mario Draghi

Contractions were also timed on the EU’s employment front, with slower growth in employed persons on the year and the region of Q4 2017.

It comes as Mr Draghi further tempered expectations this morning that the bank could move house to normalise its monetary policy before the year is out.

Mr Draghi and Chief Economist Peter Praet both apiculate to Eurozone inflation, suggesting that “further evidence that inflation vitals are moving in the right direction” is needed before the bank would ruminate on ending its extensive quantitative easing measures.

Combined, this dirt weighed on the single currency, particularly with Friday’s headline EU inflation set also expected to continue slipping even further away from the ECB’s objective range.

For the pound, things are looking slightly better.

Yesterday’s heartening Spring Statement from Chancellor Philip Hammond continuing to accommodate some support.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) did indeed raise their excrescence forecast for the UK – up from 1.4 per cent to 1.5 per cent for this year.

The Chancellor himself was surprisingly faint with optimism, promising that ‘our best days lie ahead of us.’

But it should be stressed that problems have begun to surface that retaliatory measures against Russia – in answer to allegations over the poisoning of former Russian spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia.

This is largely due to Russian ownership of multitudinous UK assets, including football clubs and an extensive range of property.

Also limited up with Russia is BP’s sizeable 20 per cent stake in the Russian oil and gas titan Rosneft.

If the UK does move to apply sanctions or expel diplomats then Russia could react in kind, a tit-for-tat battle that could drive markets away from the bray.

Looking ahead, there are no notable UK ecostats scheduled for release for the residuum of this week.

Market focus will likely continue to turns between Brexit, the situation with Russia and the US tariff measures – all things turned outs that pose a great deal of uncertainty, which markets abominate.

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