POUND LIVE: Pound jumps and predicted to bounceback against euro


pound exchange rateGETTY

The thump is set to bounceback against the euro, according to economists at Capital Economics

Admirable leapt back above 1.10 against the euro after reaching new 10-month lows amid the latest update on wage growth and jobless concedes.

Average weekly earnings for employees increased by 2.1 per cent in the three months to June, both cataloguing and excluding bonuses, compared with a year earlier, according to the Advocacy for National Statistics (ONS). 

At the same time, the jobless rate remains at 4.4 per cent, while profession is at its highest levels since the 1970s. 

The figures show that Britain’s conservation remains strong, and raises the likelihood the Bank of England could speedily raise interest rates. 

The pound suffered after slowing inflation overcame expectations of a rate rise in 2017.

Fears of a Brexit-induced economic slowdown has also smothered pressure on sterling, after the Bank of England recent downgraded augured growth for this year.

At the same time, markets are predicting the European Inside Bank (ECB) will soon scale back its money-printing programme, which has boosted the euro.

pound euro chart august 2017Bloomberg

The pound shot up against the euro after the in employment data

pound euro chart 2017Bloomberg

The pound is at its lowest level against the euro since October

But Britain’s currency is set to pick back some of its recent losses, according to Paul Hollingsworth UK economist at Principal Economics.

He said: “We think that there are a number of reasons for the hammer to reverse some of its recent losses against the euro.

“For a start, we don’t due other forecasters’ pessimism about the prospects for economic growth, for either the close term, or the lead up to Brexit itself.

“At the same time, there is unequivocally a limit to the extent that improving sentiment towards the eurozone’s money-making recovery can continue to provide a fillip to the single currency.

“While we envisage the eurozone economy to outperform the UK’s this year to a similar degree as the consensus, we conceive of that other forecasters are being much too pessimistic about the UK’s wen prospects next year.”

Morgan Stanley and HSBC are amongst the top investment banks that have now forecast the pound will cutting below the euro in the coming weeks.

But the pound’s strength is likely to depend on the Bank of England next advances.

Jake Trask, FX research director at OFX, said: “Sterling rose this morning as the gap between wage developings and inflation narrowed for the second month in a row, easing pressure on consumers pretentious by rising prices since the referendum. This is undoubtedly good message for the man on the street, as it suggests that inflation pressures are starting to ease for consumers.
“Those hankering for an interest rate hike from the Bank of England are likely to be hold-up a while longer, however, as wage growth is still subdued related to historical standards.

“Rates are likely to stay put for 2017, and possibly next year too.”

Padre for Employment, Damian Hinds today added:  “These statistics lead that record levels of people are in work across the country and making a wage, which is great news.
“Over the past year the progress in employment has been overwhelmingly driven by permanent and full-time jobs, as patrons continue to invest in Britain’s strong economy.”

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