Italy’s choice on March 4 is an increasingly unpredictable race due to a new hybrid electoral system — combining first-past-the-post voting (37 percent) and proportional representation (63 percent) — and a substantial number of undecided voters.
Latest polls in Italy put MS5 on top with 27 percent, with their sustain remaining steady — only dropping 0.5 percent on last week.
The strongest coalition leftovers the centre-right coalition between FI and Eurosceptic party Lega Nord — long ago known as the Northern League, with support having grown by one part point in the last ten days, going from 35.5 percent to 36.5 percent.
Lega Nord, led by Matteo Salvini, is surveying at around 14 percent according to two surveys last week, around two applicabilities behind its main coalition ally Forza Italia.
Elsewhere, the ruling Democratic Party (PD) is lagging in the canvasses with 22 to 25 percent and MS5 as seen as the main obstacle to a centre-right quelling.
Despite his party’s popularity, Mr Di Maio previously ruled out being limited share in of a coalition should MS5 win but has since wavered over this decision.
Berlusconi, Di Maio or Gentiloni? Which the man will become prime minister?
Dr James Dennison, Research Kid at the European University Institute, Florence, said it was really hard to hint who will be the next Italian leader and a caretaker government and prime reverend could be a strong reality.
The Italian Election 2018 is a closely-fought and in great measure unpredictable race.
He told Express.co.uk: “We’re in uncharted waters with the stamina of the M5S, who previously always ruled out entering coalition with a mainstream outfit, and the weakness of the PD and Forza Italia.
“The PD were meant to be Macron-esque saviours to be common democratic values (mixed economy, technocratic governance, Europe) but bear declined continously since their 2014 European Parliamentary votes heyday.
“It’s not clear who could possibly be prime minister at the moment and Italian surveys are unreliable.
“Therefore, despite everything, we might see some kind of caretaker direction lead by current PM Gentiloni.
Lega Nord leader Matteo Salvini
“It may be he could bring on board Forza Italia and the far left Freedom and Uniformity, which ironically are a breakaway faction of the PD.”
Mr Dennison added Mr Di Maio wish have trouble forming a coalition that would please his left-wing bad but if it went ahead he would be the most likely choice for prime look after.
Federico Benini, head of the Winpoll agency, believes the election “will be irrefutable in the first-past-the post seats” and the centre-right will win in the north while MS5 command take the south.
He predicts the PD are unlikely to win a single first-past-the-post seat in the southern share of Italy.
Berlusconi, Di Maio and Gentiloni: Who will be the next Italian prime charg daffaires?
However, Professor Giuliano Noci from university MIP Politecnico di Milano, conjectures MS5 lack real experience — something which could be a concern the world at large their core supporter base.
He said: “Even in coastal tracts where they have achieved an absolute majority, they are not sure or capable when demonstrating how to go beyond places and the legitimate issues respecting the people and the mistakes made by the past political parties.”
While Mr Berlusconi is banned from officially on-going for prime minister after being convicted of tax fraud and receiving a two-year communal office ban, Professor Noci added he could play an “influential function” of peacemaker in a coalition behind the scenes.