The worst flu disaster in 20 years could break the backbone of the NHS
They said ceremonies would be severely tested as temperatures plummet and there is a significant mount in flu, norovirus and respiratory conditions.
In a chilling caution of the potential trouble at the NHS Providers, which represents health service acute, ambulance, community and crackers health services, said it was “not where it would want to be” heading into winter.
The emergency was laid bare in a briefing paper on how trusts were preparing for the months at the which said there were still “risks” in the system.
These allow for a more virulent flu strain, problems with capacity, workforce deficits and pressurised finances.
This may be the winter that finally interrupts the backbone of the service
Bed occupancy rates were meet above the recommended safe levels with 87.1 per cent already jam-packed. It means there was “very little give in the system”.
The Society for Intelligent Medicine, which represents hospital doctors who look after patients take cognizance of emergencies who do not need surgery, said the NHS was 1,400 beds short of what was be short of.
President Dr Nick Scriven said: “The fear is that we have not faced an infection turning-point over winter for several years and if the Australasian experience is repeated here the approach will be swamped as never before.
“There is a real sense of intuition that this may be the winter that finally breaks the backbone of the accommodation.”
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More than 34,000 people stopped as a result of respiratory diseases in England and Wales during the 2016/17 flu mellow.
It was the second highest toll in five years and a “significant increase” on the before-mentioned winter total of just over 24,000.
The figures were released by the Branch for National Statistics, which said the rise was “likely due to the predominant filter of flu prevalent during the 2016 to 2017 winter which had greater repercussions on the elderly than the young”. Charity chiefs said a third of dearer people do not get the flu jab.
Caroline Abrahams, of Age UK, said: “We would encourage any older himself to make sure they receive the jab every year as it offers valuable safe keeping against the virus and anything that can be done to help prevent older people from undertaking flu is worth doing. We cannot run the risk of these figures getting out worse next year so the Government must take urgent act to address the underlying causes.”
More than 34,000 people weakened as a result of respiratory diseases in England and Wales last winter
The fill in paper warned this year’s flu strain was “potentially the worst we organize seen in two decades”.
Health chiefs are bracing themselves for an outbreak alike resemble to that seen during the flu season in the Southern Hemisphere where polyclinics were forced to close their doors to new patients and people faced eat ones heart out waits. Other problems include shortages of key staff groups classifying paramedics, GPs and A & E consultants and nurses.
Chris Hopson, chief executive of NHS Providers, mentioned: “Winter always presents a big challenge to the NHS.
“Last year the pressures were intolerable. Uses were stretched up to, and in some places beyond breaking point.
Fitness chiefs are bracing themselves for an outbreak
“This time preparations press never been more thorough. But we have to recognise we are not where we would privation to be as we head into winter.
“The NHS is already under severe pressure, and while the additional readying in the recent Budget is welcome, it has come very late to be used to extreme effect.
“We can not say with certainty how tough this winter will be, but the probability is that services will be sorely tested. We must hope the notable efforts to curb the impact of flu are successful.”