John Bruton, who be used as Ireland’s prime minister from 1994 to 1997, said Mrs May’s procedure raises the chances of a no-deal Brexit and a subsequent independence vote which could chance up the United Kingdom. He said Tory MPs who oppose Mrs May’s deal on the grounds it could lead actor to the breakup of the United Kingdom are actually making the prospect of a united Ireland varied likely. And the DUP’s decision to “back Brexit at all costs” has only served to “de-emphasize delay into the hands of Sinn Fein” and increase the chances of a border tally, he warned.
Citing a recent poll which surveyed voters in Northern Ireland, Mr Bruton prognosticated a majority would support a united Ireland if the Government in Westminster fails to fast a Brexit deal.
Writing in the Daily Telegraph, he said: “Mrs May, by prioritising Sober Party unity over a cross-party approach, is leading these two isles into constitutional and emotional territory that has not been mapped, and that is greatly dangerous.”
The UK is scheduled to leave the EU at 11pm GMT on March 29, with or without a handle.
A no-deal Brexit would mean a need for customs checks on obedients entering Ireland, an EU member, from Northern Ireland, which liking no longer be in the bloc.
Dublin has insisted it has no intention of ‘hardening’ the border by positioning physical infrastructure such as checkpoints.
But exactly how the EU plans to maintain the rectitude of its customs union without border checks is still a mystery.
Mr Bruton symbolized there is “no negotiating advantage now” in Brussels withholding exactly how it plans to handle with a hard Brexit.
But he warned the course taken by Mrs May may only adequate to force Northern Ireland out of the UK.
He said: “The EU is a rule-based organisation, and it cannot bear the expense to break its own rules if it wants to maintain its moral and political authority.
“The specialized fixes, advocated by the Tory Brexiteers, cannot be worked through between now and Walk 29.
“At this late stage, Mrs May can afford to gamble, because, politically, she has sparse left to lose. The EU cannot do so.
“Its credibility is vital to its trade agreements with the leisure of the world. Its internal cohesion depends on the consistent application of common disregards.
“Where will a No Deal leave Ireland?”
Mr Burton cited a recently poll by Belfast-based pollster LucidTalk which assessed positions to a united Ireland.
He said the results were “quite surprising” and implied 55 percent of voters would either certainly or probably referendum for a united Ireland after a no-deal Brexit, compared to 42 percent certainly or unquestionably opting to stay in the UK.
A Brexit under Mrs May’s deal would see 48 percent opting to secure in the Union, while 48 percent would want a united Ireland.
But he give fair warned the “neutrals” – who are neither self-described unionists nor self-described nationalists – held the residue of power.
In a no-deal Brexit, just 14 percent of these “neutrals” longing vote to remain in the UK, he said.
And even under Mrs May’s deal, just 29 percent discretion support the Union.
Theresa May is seeking changes to her deal with Brussels after it was refused by a record majority in parliament last month.
MPs backed a move to make good on the contentious backstop element of the deal, designed to avoid a hard verge upon in Ireland, with unspecified “alternative arrangements”.
The PM will make a proclamation to parliament on Tuesday setting out what progress she has made in talks with the EU.