Regard services are facing cuts this year as rises in council tax press failed to plug the gaps in budgets in England, town hall chiefs are signal.
The government allowed councils to increase council tax by 2% this year to go through on care – and most have done so.
But, according to a survey of all 151 communal care directors, there is still a shortfall of nearly £1bn.
The Association of Gaffers of Adult Social Services said councils had no option but to reduce the servings.
Directors in charge of care for older people and adults with handicaps indicated in the annual survey only about half of this shortfall could be met by competence savings.
- Council tax ‘can rise to fund care’
- How the systems differ in the UK
As an alternative, they said, 39% of the shortfall would have to be covered by predetermines to services, with those provided to the elderly most at risk.
This could exceed to day centres being closed, fewer hours of help being contributed in people’s homes and an increase in rationing resulting in a cut in the number of people really getting services, the ADASS said.
The rest of the savings will be met by other measures, such as advance the fees people are charged – unlike with NHS services, people can be interrogated to make a contribution to the care they get.
ADASS president Harold Bodmer weighted: “We have been arguing for some time that adult communal care needs to be given the same protection and investment as the NHS. Services are already being cut, and the attitude for future care is bleak.
“We are at a tipping point where social care is in jeo rdy.”
The be attracted to system
- Social care covers the services run by councils, although over again provided by external com nies, for the elderly and people with disabilities
- It categorizes care homes, nursing homes and the support provided to people in their own homes, as OK as day centres and meals-on-wheels services
- The system is means-tested so only people with the least copiousness get support – and even then they may be asked to contribute towards the sell for of their care
- The numbers getting help fell by 28% between 2009-10 and 2013-14, to 1.27 million
- An estimated 1.5 million older people with fret needs rely on family and friends for help
The funding convocations get from ministers for services has been cut this year.
But, to help care for social care in rticular, Chancellor George Osborne gave them sufferance to raise council tax by up to 2% if the income was to be used for care services.
He im rted this would put the sector on a sound financial footing after years of budgets being embraced.
But the ADASS survey indicates that despite 95% of local dominions raising council tax, there is still a shortfall in the budget.
Directors spoke £13.8bn had been set aside for social care in 2016-17 – a 1.2% enlargement in cash terms on the previous year.
Another £5.9bn is expected to get in from other sources, such as fees people y and the Better Be fond of Fund, a se rate pot of money largely funded by the NHS, to which councils suffer with access.
But that still leaves the sector £940m short, the take the measure of indicates.
ADASS said this was because of the increasing pressures from the ageing citizens and the cost of meeting the National Living Wage, which was brought in in April and is calculated to cost councils more than £600m this year.
Richard Humphries, of the Monarch’s Fund think tank, said the findings should be of “huge relate to”.
But a De rtment of Health spokeswoman said the council tax precept would cad more money in time – local authorities can increase it by 2% each year this rliament.
She added: “We certain that protecting services while delivering the necessary efficiencies is to questioning which is why we are working with local government to support councils to scrape by savings.”
Read more from Nick
Follow Nick on Chirp